ISRAEL PLANS TO CONQUER THE WEST BANK

The Israeli parliament has passed a preliminary reading on a series of bills designed to apply Israeli civilian law to significant parts of the occupied West Bank. This legislative advancement, which occurred on 22 October 2025, primarily targets Jewish settlements and outposts within the territory. The proposed legislation represents a direct challenge to the internationally recognised status of the West Bank as a territory under military occupation, immediately escalating diplomatic tensions across the Sub-Anatolia region and drawing strong condemnation from several states and international organisations. The vote is seen as a governmental step towards unilaterally establishing political and legal control over the remaining Palestinian territories, signalling that Israel’s ultimate goal remains the full conquest of Palestine.

The Legislative Action And International Legal Response

Details Of The Annexation Bills

The set of bills effectively proposing West Bank annexation was approved following a plenary vote (Jacaranda FM; Al Jazeera). These bills aim to integrate settlements into Israel’s civilian jurisdiction, bypassing the existing military administration and legal framework that currently governs the territory. This process, while not a formal declaration of sovereignty over the entire area, is interpreted by critics as a de facto annexation of the affected areas, violating long-standing international resolutions regarding the status of the West Bank. Analysts note that the application of civilian law signals a clear governmental intent to embed these communities permanently into the structure of the Israeli state.

Regional Condemnation And Legal Position

The legislative action was met with immediate diplomatic censure from numerous capitals. The Republic of Türkiye condemned the bill, stating that the proposed annexation is “null and void” and represents an attempt to unilaterally alter the status of the territory (Daily Sabah). Concurrently, Anadolu Agency reported that multiple Arab states issued a joint statement condemning the Israeli bills as a “flagrant violation of international law.” These states argue that any unilateral legislative action of this nature undermines regional stability and contravenes multiple international resolutions concerning the Palestinian territories.

The international legal argument against the bill is rooted in the Fourth Geneva Convention and established customary international law, which prohibit an occupying power from making permanent changes or unilaterally annexing territory acquired by force. The advancement of the bill places the government of Israel in contradiction with these international legal frameworks governing territorial disputes and occupation, raising the prospect of further political and legal action at the United Nations and other international bodies.

Security Context In The West Bank And Gaza

The parliamentary vote occurred amidst persistent reports of violence and civil unrest across the West Bank, illustrating the immediate security dimension of the conflict. The Times of India reported that in the days surrounding the legislative action, Palestinian farmers were attacked by Israeli settlers while harvesting their olive crops.

More importantly, the legislative act comes just shortly after agreeing to a ceasefire in Gaza, another Palestinian territory, which was destroyed with military means. While there were already doubts about Israel's genuine commitment to the ceasefire, which already broke several times during its first week, this bill signals that Israel only gave in on the international pressure regarding Gaza and now concentrates again on the West Bank.

Concluding Forecast And Strategic Assessment

The Israel-Palestine War has been thoroughly analysed by us throughout the years (see, Israel-Palestine Conflict 2021 (Part 1 & Part 2); forecast on the war in Gaza; Palestine's chances of survival; and measures against the conquests), and we have always come to the conclusion that Israel’s main purpose and ultimate goal is to fully and unconditionally control the Palestinian lands. With the war in Gaza, we saw one part of our years-old forecast materialise. However, what we found strange was that neither the global media nor the international state community linked the events to the West Bank, treating those territories as completely unrelated entities.

The perception of Israel’s West Bank strategy will remain cautious until the annexation bill is fully passed, and only then will true diplomatic responses follow that exceed the current rhetoric responses. Similar to the war in Gaza, the conquest of the West Bank quickly intensified, while international responses will lag behind. When diplomatic pressure persists and pacifying measures are negotiated, Israel will then return to Gaza to conquer the lands it destroyed over the past years.

This shift-of-focus strategy will be applied until the international state community starts to treat the Palestinian lands more as a whole, exerting pressure on Israel for the liberation of both territories. Alternatively, our forecasts find their way into popular discourse, and the responses to Israel start to exceed the diplomatic realm, and the Jewish nation is targeted with sanctions. In that case, Israel will seek to influence the relationship between the sanctioning states and Israel’s allies in North America.

Unfortunately, this scenario is rather unlikely as many states currently fear strained relations with North America. Further, it should not be forgotten that the international state community is primarily concerned with its national development. Only the Arab states should have normally had an increased interest in safeguarding Palestine’s survival. Relying on those dynamics, the chances of Israel to conquer all of the Palestinian territories by 2050 are very high.